Alithya Group inc Stock Performance

ALYA Stock  CAD 1.35  0.02  1.50%   
The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.84, which alludes to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Alithya Group's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during a bear market, the loss from holding Alithya Group is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Alithya Group inc has a negative expected return of -0.34%. Please make sure to validate Alithya Group's jensen alpha, total risk alpha, and the relationship between the information ratio and treynor ratio, to decide if Alithya Group inc's performance from the past will be repeated sooner or later.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weak
 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days, Alithya Group inc generated negative risk-adjusted returns and added little value for investors with long positions. The result matters because weak risk-adjusted return can persist even when isolated price moves briefly look constructive. In spite of abnormal performance in the last few months, the stock's basic indicators remain very healthy, which may send shares a bit higher in April 2026. The recent disarray may also be a sign of long period up-swing for the firm's investors. Learn More
Begin Period Cash Flow8.9 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-7.8 M
  

Alithya Group Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested C$ 170.00 in Alithya Group inc on December 11, 2025 and sold it today you would have lost C$ 35.00 from holding Alithya Group inc or given up 20.59% of portfolio value over 90 days. Alithya Group inc is generating negative expected returns and shows 2.7923% volatility on return distribution over a 90-day horizon. Simply put, 25% of stocks are less volatile than Alithya, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This benchmark view frames the instrument through return capture and volatility trade-offs. It is intended to show how efficiently risk has translated into return over the selected horizon. Assuming the 90-day trading horizon Alithya Group is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 3.63 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.12 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.05 per unit of volatility.

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The pattern of price convergence toward an average value is one of the most reliable features of organized stock markets. For Alithya Stock, this behavior has been used by investors as a forecasting baseline, though some stocks exhibit notable delays before mispricing is corrected.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
1.35 90 days 1.35
over 95.22
A probability distribution analysis shows that the odds of Alithya Group moving above the current price in 90 days from now are over 95.22 (The curve above represents the probability density of Alithya Stock prices across the next 90 days).
Assuming the 90-day trading horizon Alithya Group has a beta of 0.84. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Alithya Group's average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during a bear market, the loss from holding Alithya Group inc is expected to be smaller as well. Additionally, Alithya Group inc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Alithya Group Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Alithya Group

Forecasting techniques for the stock market vary widely in methodology and complexity. For instruments such as Alithya Group inc, combining multiple approaches provides a more robust view than relying on any single model. Market surprises are inevitable, but disciplined forecasting still improves overall investment decision-making.
Investors who believe in mean reversion view Alithya Group's price extremes not as permanent states but as temporary dislocations that create opportunities for disciplined, contrarian capital allocation.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.071.354.14
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.071.444.23
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.031.464.25
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.171.441.71
Details
A complete picture of Alithya Group's investment merit requires comparative analysis. How Alithya Group's growth rates, profitability, and capital efficiency stack up against peers is often the deciding factor in investment decisions.

Primary Risk Indicators

The last 10-20 years have demonstrated just how volatile the stock market can be. Alithya Group has been part of this story, with corrections and rallies that have made and broken portfolios. Holding Alithya Group inc with a hedging strategy informed by Alithya Group's risk indicators is one way to limit downside exposure.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.3306
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.84
σ
Overall volatility
0.15
Ir
Information ratio -0.1172

Alithya Group Alerts and Suggestions

Timely alerts on Alithya Group help investors identify important shifts in stock conditions early. Reviewing Alithya Group inc notifications is an efficient way to stay current on technical patterns, fundamental changes, and market-moving headlines.
Alithya Group inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Alithya Group inc may become a speculative penny stock
Alithya Group inc has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
About 19.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Alithya Group Price Density Drivers

The indicators below capture the key forces that influence Alithya Group's near-term price action, including the dynamics between long and short market participants. Reviewing these metrics helps investors contextualize Alithya Group price movements and anticipate potential volatility shifts.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding96.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments16 M

Alithya Group Fundamentals Growth

Understanding Alithya Stock requires a close look at Alithya Group's financial fundamentals. Revenue growth, earnings consistency, operating margins, and capital structure are the principal factors that influence Alithya Stock market performance.

About Alithya Group Performance Analysis

Alithya Group performance is measured on a risk-adjusted basis against benchmarks. Tracking difference (where applicable) can separate exposure returns from implementation effects. Alithya Group shows ROE of -13.3%, ROA of 3.51%.

Unless otherwise specified, financial data for Alithya Group inc is derived from periodic company reporting (annual and quarterly where available). Asset-level metrics are computed daily by Macroaxis LLC and refreshed regularly based on asset type. Updates may occur throughout the day.